Short term daily average and peak load predications using a hybrid intelligent approach

Abstract

A fuzzy neural network based on the multilayer perceptron and capable of fuzzy classification of patterns is presented in this paper. A hybrid learning algorithm consisting of unsupervised and supervised learning phases is used for training the network. In the supervised learning phase linear Kalman filter equations are used for tuning the weights and membership functions. Extensive tests have been performed on a two-year-utility data for generation of peak and average load profiles for 24- and 168-hours ahead time frames and results for winter and summer months are given to confirm the effectiveness of the new approach